Sunday, October 21, 2012

An Exercise in Brevity





Every year I get overwhelmed with the thought of previewing each NBA team.  This year, I decided to keep it short.  I used bovada's NBA team prop bet lines (beside Minnesota and Dallas) to (briefly) break down each team. What better place for that than on Twitter?  To make it easier for any potential readers, here they are all in one place.

#NBAOver/Unders #Hawks  42.5 wins.  They'll be better than we think. A full season for Horford. Josh Smith in a contract year.  Over.

#NBAOver/Unders #Celtics 50.5 wins. Very deep and Rondo is primed for a big year. KG's health is crucial. Will be great at home. Over.

#NBAOver/Unders #Nets 44.5 wins. New city, new stadium, new jerseys.  Strong backcourt will make up for weak frontcourt. Playoff team. Over.

 #NBAOver/Unders #Bobcats 19.5 wins.  MKG has the potential to have a huge positive impact on this team but it won't happen overnight. Under.

 #NBAOver/Unders #Bulls 47.5 wins. Relying heavily on Noah & Deng being healthy.  Bench will struggle. Thibs will have them close, but Under.

#NBAOver/Unders #Cavs 30.5 wins.  Kyrie could get them to this # on his own, but this team is young.  I'll be rooting for them, but Under.

#NBAOver/Unders #Mavs No Line. Dirk's injury has scared Vegas. Getting the surgery out of the way was smart. Still, no Dirk. 43 wins? Under.

#NBAOver/Unders #Nuggets 50.5 wins. It used to take 50 wins to sniff the playoffs in the West.  Who isn't excited about this team? Over.

#NBAOver/Unders #Pistons 31.5 wins. Knight & Monroe = solid core for the future. Drummond's a wildcard. Should improve on the road, over.

#NBAOver/Unders #Warriors 36.5 wins. Curry will not stay healthy.  Bogut might (a good fit with Lee) and they are deeper than usual.  Over.

#NBAOver/Unders #Rockets 30.5 wins. I like the rooks, but lots of pressure on Lin to be a leader after only 25 NBA starts. Under.

#NBAOver/Unders #Pacers 51.5 wins. Essentially the same team that won 42 of 66 games last season. Could that have been their ceiling? Under.

#NBAOver/Unders #Clippers 49.5 wins. Paul and Blake alone get them to 50 wins.  I have a lot of questions about the rest of this team. Over.

#NBAOver/Unders #Lakers 58 wins. I've been waiting his whole career to see Dwight play with a real PG. With Pau throwing lobs as well? Over.

#NBAOver/Unders #Grizzlies 48.5 wins. Pacers of the West.  Only way they improve is if Gay and/or Conley make a leap. 49 is realistic, Over.

#NBAOver/Unders #Heat 60.5 wins. 58 wins in 2011, 46 wins (66 games) last year.  Still the favorite, but they don't need home court.  Under.
 
#NBAOver/Unders #Bucks 36.5 wins. Jennings and Ellis are both playing for a payday, both will be firing.  Bogut's absence will show.  Under.

#NBAOver/Unders #Wolves No Line. Stat guys loved this team, but now Rubio & Love are hurt.  High ceiling, low basement. 48 wins? Under.

#NBAOver/Unders #Hornets 26.5 wins. The ROY is Davis' to lose, and Monty is underrated.  Very little depth and experience though. Under.

#NBAOver/Unders #Knicks 47.5 wins. Amare is hurt already. Blessing in disguise? Or will injuries be a recurring theme for the season? Under.

#NBAOver/Unders #Thunder 60.5 wins. I'm not sure if any team gets 61 wins this year. Durant should be closest comp to Lebron for MVP. Under.

#NBAOver/Unders #Magic 23.5 wins. I cringe thinking about Glen Davis trying to carry this team to victories on a nightly basis.  Under.

#NBAOver/Unders #Sixers 45.5 wins. Bynum has to be healthy and dominate for them to reach 46 wins.  I don't trust him.  Under.

#NBAOver/Unders #Suns 33.5 wins.  Scola, Dragic, Gortat offset the erratic Beasley.  I see them as an entertaining team close to .500. Over.

#NBAOver/Unders #Blazers 33.5 wins. Will rely heavily on Lillard to score & make plays as a rook.  I think Aldrich has a big year.  Over.

#NBAOver/Unders #Kings 30.5 wins. Cousins/Robinson pairing is intriguing, backcourt is a mess.  Likely last chance for Reke in Sac. Under.

#NBAOver/Unders #Spurs 55.5 wins. I expect another efficient reg season from Pop, Parker, Duncan, and the rest.  50 (in 66) last year. Over.

#NBAOver/Unders #Raptors 33.5 wins. I'm excited to watch Lowry, Valaciunas, & they made real strides defensively in 2012. (A hopeful) Over.

#NBAOver/Unders #Jazz 42.5 wins. Really hope they continue to play with pace. Love the youngsters, even Hayward's growing on me. Over.

#NBAOver/Unders #Wizards 27.5 wins. High hopes are being dashed. Wall hurt, Nene hurt.  Beal could shine in the meantime.  Under.

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